Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.000673 0.000765 0.000862 0.000973 0.001094 0.001223 0.001371
2025-09-28 0.000518 0.000644 0.000786 0.000957 0.001158 0.001383 0.001654
2025-10-05 0.000455 0.000599 0.000770 0.000985 0.001245 0.001548 0.001925
2025-10-12 0.000402 0.000559 0.000752 0.001002 0.001316 0.001692 0.002171
2025-10-19 0.000350 0.000512 0.000717 0.000994 0.001350 0.001786 0.002356
2025-10-26 0.000306 0.000469 0.000684 0.000980 0.001373 0.001865 0.002521
2025-11-02 0.000277 0.000443 0.000669 0.000989 0.001422 0.001976 0.002727
2025-11-09 0.000250 0.000417 0.000650 0.000990 0.001460 0.002072 0.002914
2025-11-16 0.000217 0.000377 0.000610 0.000958 0.001450 0.002102 0.003016
2025-11-23 0.000190 0.000345 0.000577 0.000933 0.001447 0.002140 0.003126
2025-11-30 0.000171 0.000325 0.000560 0.000929 0.001471 0.002215 0.003287
2025-12-07 0.000156 0.000308 0.000546 0.000929 0.001500 0.002296 0.003456
2025-12-14 0.000140 0.000288 0.000527 0.000919 0.001516 0.002359 0.003604
2025-12-21 0.000124 0.000267 0.000505 0.000903 0.001521 0.002408 0.003732
2025-12-28 0.000119 0.000263 0.000510 0.000930 0.001590 0.002548 0.003992
2026-01-04 0.000112 0.000256 0.000509 0.000947 0.001645 0.002668 0.004226
2026-01-11 0.000101 0.000241 0.000493 0.000938 0.001659 0.002730 0.004377
2026-01-18 0.000091 0.000226 0.000476 0.000926 0.001666 0.002780 0.004511
2026-01-25 0.000084 0.000218 0.000471 0.000934 0.001706 0.002880 0.004719
2026-02-01 0.000078 0.000209 0.000462 0.000935 0.001734 0.002962 0.004902
2026-02-08 0.000068 0.000191 0.000436 0.000904 0.001710 0.002962 0.004964
2026-02-15 0.000060 0.000176 0.000415 0.000881 0.001695 0.002977 0.005045
2026-02-22 0.000054 0.000167 0.000405 0.000877 0.001712 0.003042 0.005204